Design Strategies for Skillful and Reliable Regional UFS Ensemble Forecasts

UFS Hosted Webinar

Abstract: NOAA’s Rapid Refresh Forecast System development includes plans to utilize high-resolution ensemble analysis methods to initialize forecasts. Traditionally, the design process for convection-permitting ensemble forecast systems has been largely ad hoc. More recently, teams that include collaborations between NCAR and NOAA have identified a simplified forecast system design approach that can use a single-physics…