UIFCW24 and JSU logos: A UFS Collaboration Powered by Epic

Overview

Join us this July at Jackson State University (JSU) or online for the Unifying Innovations in Forecasting Capabilities Workshop 2024 (UIFCW24). This event, co-sponsored by EPIC and JSU, is an opportunity for community partners, including academia, industry, and government, to collaborate in our shared mission to advance forecasting capabilities. Our objective is to deepen the understanding of our collaborative efforts to improve the UFS, accelerate contributions, and measure success effectively. 

This year, we will focus on integrating sectors of the Weather Enterprise and fostering a community aligned with EPIC’s mission, emphasizing government research and the crucial role of community building. UIFCW24 is about engaging and uniting our efforts to advance forecasting capabilities for a more informed future. The theme for this year’s workshop is Collaborative Progress in Earth System Modeling

We aim to bring together scientists and stakeholders from across the Weather Enterprise to address several key topics, including but not limited to the following sessions:

  • The state of EPIC and the UFS
  • UFS Governance  
  • Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML) in Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
  • Data Assimilation/JEDI Integration
  • Student session/panel discussion
  • MPAS dycore discussion 
  • High-performance computing

 

Registration

Registration is open! Click the button below to register for UIFCW24 either in-person at Jackson State University (JSU) or virtually.

If you have ANY issues submitting the form, please reach out to EPIC Support ( support.epic@noaa.gov ) to register. 

In-person registration must be completed by Sunday, June 30, 2024; there will be no on-site registration for in-person attendance. 

Lunch Information

Lunch is free for all non-federal attendees, which includes federal contractors and CI employees.
 
All federal employees attending in person and partaking in the catered lunches Tuesday-Thursday are required to pay for their meals. Federal employees can choose which days to partake in the catered lunches. It is preferred that federal employees pay prior to the event (by Friday, July 19, 2024 at COB CDT). However, federal employees can choose to pay throughout the event as well. Non-federal employees will be provided lunch as part of their registration.
 

Tuesday lunch: Tex-Mex Buffet $22/person
Wednesday lunch: Southern BBQ Buffet $22/person
Thursday lunch: Traditions Buffet $26/person

*All three lunches include vegan and gluten-free options. Click lunch menu for more details.

How to Pay:
If you are interested in purchasing catered lunches (provided by Flavours by Sodexo at JSU), please click the “Purchase Lunch” button below
, and select “UIFCW-July 24th-24th 2024” from the drop-down menu. Click on “Process Payment.” This should bring you to a new page where you enter the amount to pay, credit card information, and your contact information. Once the information is filled out, click “Next” to confirm your payment.

The total amount (when paying for all 3 lunches) is: $70.

Venue Information


Address: Jackson State University Student Center, 1400 John R. Lynch St #3230, Jackson, MS 39217

Parking: Parking is free and available at One University Place parking lot. 

Objective

UIFCW24 sets out to build on the existing collaboration between the public, private, and academic sectors within the Weather Enterprise. By highlighting the importance of community building and the shared goal of advancing the UFS, the workshop serves as a key event for fostering enhanced communication and collaboration. It offers a unique venue where participants can explore how these sectors are able to unite effectively, thereby boosting forecasting capabilities, spurring innovation, and achieving success more efficiently.

Workshop Schedule

Schedule subject to updates. Additional information will be added as plans for each session evolve.

All times are in Central Daylight Time (CDT).

July 22, 2024

1:00 pm | Welcome & Kickoff

MC | Gillian Petro - User Support Team Lead, EPIC/STC

1:15 pm | Opening Remarks by Dr. Marcus L. Thompson, President, Jackson State University (JSU)

Speaker | Dr. Marcus L. Thompson - President of Jackson State University

1:30 pm | Collaborative Progress in Community Modeling and the Importance and Need for Diversity & Inclusion

Description | A panel discussion on collaborative progress towards community modeling that highlights the importance and need for diversity and inclusion in community modeling. 

Moderated by |

Dr. Maoyi Huang - EPIC Program Manager, NOAA/OAR/WPO 

Dr. DaNa Carlis, PMP - Director of the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL), NOAA/OAR/NSSL 

Panelists |

Dr. Almesha Campbell - Assistant Vice President for Research and Economic Development, Jackson State University

Dr. Sen Chiao - Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, Howard University and Director of the NOAA Cooperative Science Center in Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology (NCAS-M), NOAA/NCAS-M

Dr. Neil Jacobs - Chief Science Advisor for the Unified Forecast System (UFS), UCAR

Bill Parker - Meteorologist-in-Charge (Jackson, MS WFO), NOAA/NWS

Dr. Wilbur Walters - Dean, College of Science, Engineering and Technology; Jackson State University

2:30 pm | UFS Governance

Description | Leaders from across NOAA and the UFS Community will provide updates on a new proposed UFS governance structure.

Speakers

Dr. Neil Jacobs - Chief Science Advisor for the Unified Forecast System (UFS), UCAR

Dr. Stephan Smith - Director of the Office of Science and Technology Integration, NOAA/NWS/OSTI

3:15 pm | BREAK

3:45 pm | NOAA Modeling Team Accomplishments and Future Direction

Description | This session will feature the NOAA Modeling Team's accomplishments over the past year and plans for the future. It will be followed by an open discussion with the UFS Community. 

Speakers

Dr. Curtis Alexander - Deputy Director, NOAA/OAR/GSL

Kathryn Shontz - Deputy Director, NOAA/NESDIS

4:30 pm | State of EPIC and the UFS

Description | This session provides an overview of the state of the science for EPIC and the UFS. It highlights what has changed since last year, what has been accomplished, and future goals.

Speakers

Kevin Garrett - Modeling Program Director, NOAA/NWS/OSTI

Vijay Tallapragada - Senior Scientist, NOAA/NWS/EMC

Dr. Neil Jacobs - Chief Science Advisor for the Unified Forecast System (UFS), UCAR

5:30 pm | Conclude and Look Ahead

5:45 pm | Networking Mixer 

Speaker | Dr. Almesha Campbell - Assistant Vice President for Research and Economic Development, Jackson State University

July 23, 2024

9:00 am | Welcome and Kickoff

MC | Dr. Tracy Fanara - Coastal Modeling Portfolio Manager, NOAA/NOS/IOOS

9:05 am | Opening Remarks by Dr. Michael Morgan, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation and Prediction

Speaker | Dr. Michael Morgan - Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation and Prediction, NOAA

9:15 am | Future of Modeling & Data Assimilation Consortium

Description | This session will feature programmatic highlights from WPO, OSTI, and EPIC on what each program foresees for the future of numerical modeling. It will be followed by two feature presentations from the DA Consortium and the Transatlantic Data Science Academy.

Speakers | 

Dr. John Ten Hoeve - Acting Director, NOAA/OAR/WPO

Dr. Ivanka Stajner - Acting Director, NOAA/NWS/EMC

Dr. Stephan Smith - Director of the Office of Science and Technology Integration, NOAA/NWS/OSTI

Xuguang Wang - Robert Lowry Chair Professor and Presidential Research Professor, University of Oklahoma

Dr. Damian Wilson - Head of the Science Profession at the UK Met Office (UKMO)

10:25 am | EPIC's UFS Community Support and Data Management

Description | Speakers will explain how EPIC supports the UFS Community and provide more information on UFS data management.

Speakers |  

Jong Kim - UFS Code Management Product Owner, EPIC/STC

Gillian Petro - User Support Team Lead, EPIC/STC

10:55 am | BREAK

11:15 am | Student Session (TBD)

Description | This session will feature student presentations on community modeling.

Speakers |  

Shreyas Dhavale - The Origin, Structure, and Tracks of the Monsoon Onset Vortex - Integrating Theory and Predictability Studies Using the UFS for Early Season Impacts on the Monsoon 

Nowrin Mow - Change in Lake Michigan’s Circulation Dynamics With Varying Bathymetry 

Jorge Bravo - Assessing WRF High-Resolution Simulation of Precipitation during Superstorm Ida across the New York Metropolitan Region

Anna Glodzik - Surface Energy Balance Across the 18-site New York State Mesonet Flux Network 

Daoyang Bao - Quantifying Compound and Nonlinear Effects of Hurricane-Induced Flooding Using a Novel Coupled Hydrological-Ocean Model

12:15 pm | LUNCH

1:15 pm | Effective Use of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML) in Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Description |  This session will present effective uses of artificial intelligence and machine learning in Numerical Weather Prediction.

Speakers |  

Dale Durran - Professor / Principal Research Scientist, University of Washington / NVIDIA 

Dr. Sergey Frolov - Reanalysis and Data Assimilation Team Lead, NOAA/OAR/PSL

Dr. Daryl Kleist - Supervisory Physical Scientist, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

2:30 pm | Keynote: Breakthroughs in Model Performance

Keynote Speaker |  Sarah Lu - Research Scientist, University at Albany - SUNY & JCSDA

3:00 pm | BREAK

3:30 pm | A Social Science Approach to Unified Community Modeling

Description | This talk will highlight how social science principles have been used to evolve operational concepts for new weather technologies, outline the current state of the UFS community, and share upcoming efforts to use social science strategies to support the UFS.

Speakers |  

Alison Gregory - Community Engagement Specialist, Unified Forecast System (UFS), UCAR

Kimberly Klockow McClain - Senior Social Scientist, NWS/NCEP

4:00 pm | Status Update on MPAS from Across Organizations & Moderated Discussion 

Description | This session will provide a brief status update on integration of MPAS into the UFS, including the scope of what that entails both technically and in terms of collaboration across organizations. It will provide an opportunity to be transparent with the broader community, lay out the big questions that don't yet have answers, and hear community input and feedback on what to consider moving forward.

Speakers |  

Dr. Ligia Bernardet - Earth Prediction Advancement Division Chief, NOAA/OAR/GSL

Bill Skamarock - Senior Scientist, NSF NCAR/MMM

Dr. Louis Wicker - Meteorologist, NOAA/OAR/NSSL

5:30 pm | Conclude and Look Ahead

July 24, 2024

9:00 am | Welcome and Kickoff

MC | Samantha Lang - William M. Lapenta Intern, EPIC

9:05 am | Parallel Sessions with Q&A

Description | Three concurrent sessions will provide updates on System Architecture, Air Quality Modeling, and the Medium-Range/Subseasonal Weather Application.

UFS Application – Medium Range Weather (MRW) and Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Applications

This session will highlight progress on scientific updates, development, testing, and evaluation of applications based on the global coupled UFS MRW and S2S Applications.  See more information about the UFS Configuration.

Speakers |  

Catherine Thomas - Overview of the Next Global Forecast System GFSv17 

Jessica Meixner - Updates on Wave Coupling for the Next Global Forecast System GFSv17 

Bing Fu - The Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) for subseasonal ensemble forecasts out to 45 days 

Sulagna Ray - Improvements in Week 3&4 Ocean Forecasts in Recent GEFS Prototypes Targeting GEFSv13

Linjiong Zhou - Toward Global 6.5-km Weather Prediction and Storm-Resolving Simulation 

Shan Sun - An NSST Alternative in UFS: SkinSST 

Weiwei Li - Hierarchical Testing to Inform SFS Development: An Investigation from DYNAMO Field Campaign

David Straus - Diabatic Heating and Vertical Motion in Coupled UFS, or An Unexpected Path to R2O 

Cross-Cutting - System Architecture

Presentations will feature cutting-edge research on system architecture-related topics that impact multiple applications.

Speakers |  

Z. George Xue - The Gulf of Mexico Coastal Hazards Forecast System 

Benjamin Cash - Community Modeling on Community Platform

Kristopher Booker - EPIC Systems Architecture Enabling Rapid Innovation 

Jacob Carley - The Operational Implementation Process - Bringing UFS Innovations to Society

Christina Holt - The Unified Workflow Tools and a Proposed UFS Applications Framework 

Brian Weir - Driving the User Experience with UW Tools 

Eric J. Lingerfelt - The Research Repository for Data and Diagnostics (R2D2): A Distributed Data Management System for JEDI Data Assimilation Workflows 

Wei Huang - Running Global-Workflow on AWS 

Chris Harrop - Building Federated MPAS Workflows For Research And Development With Chiltepin and UW Tools 

Advancing UFS Applications – Air Quality

With an eye towards the future, this session will feature presentations about innovative research on the development, testing, and evaluation of upcoming UFS air quality applications.

Speakers |  

Kai Wang - Updates to the UFS-AQM Online Prediction System for the National Air Quality Forecasting Capability

Wei Li - Updates and Evaluation of NOAA’s Online-Coupled Air Quality Model Within the Unified Forecast System 

Christopher Rozoff - A Dynamical Ensemble Approach to Characterizing Uncertainties in the Prediction of Air Quality Downstream of the Massive Western US Wildfires of 2020 

Emily Faber - Investigation of the Impact of Alluvial Flows in the UFS Dust Scheme 

Wei-Ting Hung - Development and Evaluation of a Machine Learning Based Wildfire Spread Prediction Model for Regional Air Quality Forecasting 

Jeff McQueen - Evaluation of NOAA’s Global UFS Coupled Aerosol Predictions 

Jian He - Incorporating GFDL-AM4.1 Chemistry into NOAA’s Unified Forecasting System for Global Air Quality Application

Lin Gan - A Technical Overview of the Transition of the UFS-Based AQMv7 into Operations - AQMv7 Implementation Experience

11:00 am | BREAK

11:15 am | Virtual Poster Slam (Virtual Participants Only)

Description | The virtual poster slam provides an opportunity to present virtual poster presentations to the entire virtual audience.

Speakers |  A to I

Nate Crossette - Background Error Covariances in the JEDI System 

Linlin Cui - An Evaluation Case Study on the Pre-Trained Machine Learning Model FourCastNet-v2 

Fabio Diniz - Impact of Observing Systems on Earth System Prediction 

Hamideh Ebrahimi - Advancements in Assimilation of Ocean Color Radiance Data 

Keenan Eure - Simultaneous Assimilation of Dual-Polarization Radar and All-Sky Satellite Observations to Improve Convection Forecasts 

Ashley Griffin - Building Infrastructure to Support the Next-Generation Joint Effort for Data Assimilation Integration (JEDI) System for NOAA, NASA, U.S. Air Force, U.S. Navy, and UK Met Office 

Clémentine Hardy Gas - Enabling Different Ensemble Data Assimilation Scenarios in JEDI Using the Skylab Workflow 

Bo Huang - The NOAA Global Aerosol ReAnalysis (NARA)

Speakers | J to O

Chan-Hoo Jeon - Code Refactoring Practices and Benefits for the UFS Land Data Assimilation Workflow System

Benjamin T. Johnson - New Opportunities for Satellite-Based Sensor Simulation 

Erin Jones - Flow-Dependent Vertical Localization in Hybrid 4DEnVar for Improvement of UFS Medium-Range Weather Application Global and Tropical Cyclone Track Numerical Prediction

Speakers | P to S

Mariah Pope - Post-Processing High-Resolution Deterministic NWP Model with Machine Learning to Produce Cost-Effective, Operational Probabilistic Forecasts  

Mark Potts - Prototype In-Core Gain Form Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (GETKF) Data Assimilation (DA) Using JEDI and a Coupled UFS Model 

Benjamin Ruston - Updates to Environmental Observation Usage in JEDI Skylab 

Christian Sampson - A Hybrid Tangent Linear Model in the Joint Effort for Data Integration (JEDI) System 

Hui Shao - Advancements in Data Impact Studies using JEDI and the UFS: Insights from the Radio Occultation Modeling Experiment (ROMEX) 

Alen Shrestha - Artificial Intelligence Based Workflow for Generating Up-To-Date Land Use Information of the United States for Flood Risk Modeling

Edward Snyder - Expanding the Testing Framework for the Short-Range Weather Application

Speakers | T to Z

Gregory Thompson - All-Sky Geostationary Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation in JEDI 

Zhifeng Yang - Impact of Assimilating Radar and Lidar Observations on Improving the Bore Forecast During PECAN Campaign 

Yue Yang - Impacts of Model Physical Parameters at the Air-Sea Interface on the Background of HAFS-MOM6 EnVar Data Assimilation System for Hurricane Fiona (2022)

Zhan Zhang - Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFSv2) Upgrades and Operational Implementation

11:30 am | Poster Session (In Person)

Description | Posters and their authors will be arranged in a gallery-style walkthrough in the main lobby. Conference participants are invited to meet and discuss science topics at length with authors.

Speakers |  A to I

Keven Blackman - RRFS-SRW Convergence - Developing a Clear Path to Operations for the Community

Alex Burrows - Porting of the Global-Workflow to Gaea-C5 

Anthony David Jr. - A Climate Justice Approach to Major Flooding Events 

Prabal Das - Enhancing Precipitation Type Classification Using Random Forests 

Benjamin Green - Sensitivity of Atmospheric Vertical Resolution to Biases in SFS Prototypes 

Wei Huang - A Neural Network to Assimilate CRTM Brightness Temperature 

Speakers | J to O

Zakiya Johnson - Developing an Effective Set of Questions to Extract Partner Needs from NWS IDSS 

Aaron Jones - Empowering Forecasting Innovation Through EPIC Community Engagement and User Support

Sina Khani - On the Forecast of Ocean Surface Fields Within the Coupled Seasonal Ensemble Unified Forecast System (UFS) Prototype 

Jong Kim - Hierarchical Decomposition of the UFS Test Cases and DevOps Test Framework Infrastructures

Joseph Knisely - Advancing Methodologies for Uninterrupted, Basin-Wide Data Assimilation in the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) 

Nadim Mahmud - Characteristics and Seasonality of the Minimum Oxygen Zone of the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea 

Murali Nageswara Rao Malasala - Forecasting Integrated Water Vapor Transport and Precipitation on U.S. West Coast with Atmospheric River Analysis and Forecast System

Gina Azarell Martinez Velez - Remote Community Modeling Forecasted Inundations 

Margarita Mora - Evaluating the HAFS Forecasts Environmental Flow of Hurricane Idalia (2023) 

Yanda Ou - A Novel Hypoxia Forecast System Using Combined Numerical and ML/AI Models  

Speakers | P to S

Natalie Perlin - Streamlining UFS Application Builds: Spack-Stack vs. HPC-Stack Package Managers 

Corey K. Potvin - Training GraphCast-Based WoFS Forecast Emulators 

Zachary Shrader - Stochastic Physics Unit Test Overview of Use Cases and Review of Code Drivers 

Ivanka Stajner - Transitioning to Unified Forecast System Applications for Operations - Update from NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center

Yu-Cian Tsai - Unified Forecast System Model Performance in Madden-Julian Oscillation Simulation and Eastern Pacific Teleconnection for Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictions 

Tao Sun - All-Sky Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation Using Gain-Form of Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter Within MPAS-JEDI: Implementation, Tuning, and Evaluation

Speakers | T to Z

Beiming Tang - Downscaling UFS to High-Resolution Using Machine Learning Data Fusion

Hendrik L. Tolman - The State of the UFS in 2024 

Jun Wang - Machine Learning-Based Weather Prediction Model Development at EMC 

Yixuan Wang - Using HAFS to Drive a Dynamically Coupled Hydrological-Ocean Model for Hurricane-Induced Compound Flooding Forecast

Gamal Zayed - Advancements in Local Oscillator Design for Enhanced Terrestrial and Space Weather Forecasting 

Gamal Zayed - Collaborative Data Assimilation for Accurate RF Localization: A Community Modeling Approach 

Mengliang Zhang - Enhancing Rainfall Predictions with Graph Neural Networks on the GEFS Dataset 

Xuejin Zhang - Microphysics Parameterization Development Progress in the Hurricane Analysis Forecast System (HAFS) 

12:00 pm | LUNCH

1:00 pm | Parallel Sessions with Q&A

Description | We will hold three concurrent sessions that will highlight updates to the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System; Physics, Verification & Validation; Dynamics and Nesting; and Coastal, Marine, and Space Weather. Each presenter will summarize their research on their respective subject.

UFS Application – Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS)

The Hurricane Application forecasts hurricane track, intensity, and related effects out to about one week. See more information about the UFS Configuration.

Speakers | 

Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan - Research and Developments of the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System 

Ping Zhu - Numerical Simulations of Tropical Cyclones Using a Scale-Aware Three-Dimensional TKE Turbulent Mixing Scheme 

Bin Liu - 2024 HAFS: A Configuration Based Real-Time Parallel Experiment With Upgrades in Model Initialization, Physics, Dynamics and Coupling 

Kun Gao - Towards Turbulence-Permitting Simulations of the Entire Tropical Cyclone Vortex with FV3 

Jiayi Peng - HAFS-Based Ensemble in Cloud 

Yue Yang - Recent Development of GOES-16 ABI All-Sky Radiances Data Assimilation for HAFS: System Description and Impact on Hurricane Laura (2020) 

Tsung-Han Li - Using Novel Observations at the Air-Sea Interface to Evaluate the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Background Ensemble Forecasts from a Self-Cycled HAFS Data Assimilation System for Hurricane Fiona (2022) 

JungHoon Shin - Development of the Cloud and Vertical Velocity Initialization Process in the HAFS-Vortex Initialization 

Sarah Ditchek - The Sensitivity of the Impact of G-IV Reconnaissance Data to HAFSv1 Version

George Alvey - Evaluation of Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) Error Statistics Stratified by Internal Structure and Environmental Metrics

Advancing UFS Applications – Coastal, Marine, and Space Weather 

With an eye towards the future, this session will feature presentations about innovative research towards the development, testing, and evaluation of upcoming UFS applications, including coastal, marine, and space weather applications.

Speakers | Coastal, Marine

Saeed Moghimi - Status and Plans for Developing the UFS Coastal Model and Coupled Applications 

Ufuk Turunçoğlu - Development and Code Infrastructure of the Coastal Modeling Framework Based on the Unified Forecast System (UFS-Coastal Application) 

Yunfang Sun - UFS-Coastal Applications for tropical storms using coupled SCHISM and WAVEWATCH III 

Jana Haddad - User Support, External Testing, and Project Planning of the UFS Coastal Coupling Infrastructure in Partnership with the UFS Coastal Applications Team 

Xiaochen Zhao - Investigating the Hurricane-induced Salt Variation across the Land-Estuary-Ocean Continuum Using A Dynamically Coupled Hydrological-Ocean Modeling 

Joannes Westerink - Improving Tidal Forcing Functions in STOFS-2D-Global, NOAA’s Fast Integrated Multi-Scale Multi-Process Operational Water Level Model 

Joseph Zhang - Development of a New Operational Forecast System for the Southeastern US (SECOFS) 

Aijun Zhang - NOAA’s Coastal Ocean Operational Forecast Systems, Products, and Future Plan

Speakers | Space Weather

Oladayo O. Afolabi - Evaluating the SAMI2 Model's Performance in the Brazilian Sector During the December 2015 Geomagnetic Storm 

Hager M. Salah - Investigation and Prediction of Ionospheric Irregularities over Egypt 

Hassan Nooreldeen - Enhancing Ionospheric Forecasting in Egypt: Utilizing GNSS Data and Deep Neural Networks 

Cross-Cutting – Physics, Verification & Validation, Followed by Cross-Cutting – Dynamics and Nesting

Presentations will feature cutting-edge research on topics such as scale-aware physics, verification, and validation, which impact multiple applications. These presentation will be followed by presentations on topics such as dynamics and nesting, which impact multiple applications.

Speakers | Physics, Verification & Validation

Dustin Swales - The Common Community Physics Package and Single Column Model Version 7 

Jian-Wen Bao - A Unified Representation of Convective Mixing on Subgrid Scales in the UFS 

Weiwei Li - Advanced Testing and Evaluation by DTC for UFS Physics Development 

Tara Jensen - Most Recent Strides in Enhancing the METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capability to Support UFS Development Activities 

Tim Marchok - Use and Distribution of the GFDL Vortex Tracker as Part of the Unified Forecast System 

Corey Potvin - Storm-Based Verification and Intercomparison of Warm-Season Forecasts from the HRRR, RRFS, C-SHiELD, and NSSL MPAS models 

Cheng Dang - A Generic Model Interface for the Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) 

Isaac Moradi - Advancements in the Assimilation of Spaceborne Microwave and Radar Observations 

Speakers | Dynamics and Nesting

Lucas Harris - Global Storm-Resolving Climate Simulations in GFDL X-SHIELD 

Peter Caldwell - Global Storm-Resolving Simulations With the Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model

William Ramstrom - Multiple Moving Nest Implementation for the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) 

Meiyun Lin - The GFDL Variable-Resolution Global Chemistry-Climate Model for Research at the Nexus of US Climate and Air Quality Extremes 

3:30 pm | BREAK

3:45 pm | Physics Parameterizations Across Scales for UFS Applications

Description | This session seeks contributions regarding the development, testing, and evaluation of physics parameterizations for the Unified Forecast System (UFS) Applications, including but not limited to the Global Forecast System (GFS), Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS), Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS), Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS), and Air Quality Model (AQM). Contributions on the following topics are encouraged:

  • Improvements to existing physics parameterizations
  • Development of new scale-aware parameterizations for earth system modeling
  • Consolidation of physical parameterizations representing similar physics processes (e.g., unification of vertical transport in boundary layer and convection schemes)
  • Physics-dynamics coupling at different temporal and spatial scales

Speaker | Jian-Wen Bao - Research Meteorologist, NOAA/OAR/PSL

4:15 pm |  Seasonal Forecasting in the UFS: Opportunities and Challenges

Description | This session will focus on the UFS at seasonal timescales (several months of lead time), which goes beyond the subseasonal timescale that is covered by GEFSv13. Particular emphasis will be placed on efforts to build NOAA’s UFS-based Seasonal Forecast System (SFS), which will replace the 13+ year old CFSv2. The objectives will be to: 

  • Present preliminary results.
  • Discuss unique challenges to applying UFS to seasonal-length prediction (e.g., model configuration, post-processing, diagnostics) both operationally and in the broader research community.
  • Involve stakeholders outside of NOAA who may use and/or contribute to the SFS.

Speaker | Philip Pegion - Physical Scientist, NOAA/OAR/PSL

4:45 pm | Current and Future Strategies for Verification and Post-Processing of Numerical Weather Prediction Models at NOAA Environmental Modeling Center

Description | This session will focus on current and future strategies for environmental model verification and post-processing at the NOAA Environmental Modeling Center’s Verification, Post-Processing, and Product Generation Branch (VPPPGB). VPPPGB is responsible for all of the data products at EMC, as well as for the quality control, verification, and evaluation of those products. EMC’s suite of environmental models mainly use the Unified Post-Processor (UPP) software to generate products, and the EMC Verification System (EVS) to verify and evaluate products. This presentation will provide a discussion of EMC’s product and verification strategies, including descriptions of EMC’s product systems and the model evaluation process led by the Model Evaluation Group (MEG).

Speaker | Jason Levit - Branch Chief, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

5:15 pm | Future Plan for Weather and Climate Modeling (GFS, GEFS, S2S, SFS)

Description | Presents current plan and goals for weather and climate modeling.

Speakers |

Cristiana Stan - Professor, George Mason University

Dr. Yan Xue - Program Manager, NOAA/NWS/OSTI/Modeling Program

5:45 pm | Conclude and Look Ahead

July 25, 2024

9:00 am | Welcome and Kickoff

MC | Dr. Jamese Sims, Chief Executive Officer of Thee Anomaly, LLC

9:05 am | Round-Table Discussion on Community Modeling

Description | The goals of this interactive session are to understand how participants engage in community modeling and to gather participants' thoughts as to how best to structure a modeling community that facilitates engagement, ensures equitable contribution, and encourages collaboration. Participants will be divided into groups for an 85-minute facilitated discussion guided by a moderator. This session provides opportunities for an interactive discussion among all stakeholder groups interested in community modeling. Attendees should come prepared to discuss their thoughts on how to build and develop new relationships based on shared interests in community modeling that span beyond specific stakeholder groups.

Moderated by | 

Alison Gregory, Community Engagement Specialist, Unified Forecast System (UFS), UCAR

Dr. John Ten Hoeve - Acting Director, NOAA/OAR/WPO

Ji Sun Lee - Director of Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences (SBES) Program, NOAA/NWS

Dr. Valerie Were - Social and Behavioral Science Program Analyst, CIRA & NWS

10:30 am | Invited Student Presentations

Description | This session will feature presentations on community modeling from students.

Speakers |  

ReneDiego Martinez - Developing a Jupyter Notebook-Based Tutorial of the GDAS Proxy Application for Enhanced Data Assimilation in Earth System Prediction 

Samantha Lang - Highlights and Recommendations for Student Engagement from the Unified Forecast System Student Ambassador 

11:00 am | BREAK

11:15 am | Operationalizing “Cool” for the UFS

Description | The ultimate goal of our nation's weather forecasting is to save lives and property. Increasing users of the UFS will further support this mission. One of the main
hurdles currently facing UFS adoption is how to make the UFS appeal to broader audiences in more creative ways, aka how do we make the UFS “cool”? This presentation demonstrates three areas where we can begin to envision the UFS being utilized in unique and different settings.

Speakers |  

Alison Gregory, Community Engagement Specialist, Unified Forecast System (UFS)

Dr. Tracy Fanara - Coastal Modeling Portfolio Manager, NOAA/NOS/IOOS

12:00 pm | LUNCH

1:00 pm | Parallel Sessions with Q&A

Description | We will hold three concurrent sessions that will highlight updates on the Short-Range Weather Application and Rapid Refresh Forecast System, Oceans and Ecology, Land/Surface Models, and Data Assimilation. Each presenter will present their research on their respective subject.

UFS Application – Short Range Weather (SRW) Application and Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS)

This session will highlight the scientific updates, achievements, and challenges of the UFS SRW Application, including research, development, testing, and evaluation of the 3D Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis System (3DRTMA) and Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS). See more information on the UFS Configuration and current developments.

Speakers |  

Matthew E. Pyle - Current Status of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

Israel Jirak - Evaluation of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System During the 2024 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment 

Adam Clark - Evaluations of Deterministic and Ensemble Regional MPAS Configurations for Severe Weather Forecasting During the 2024 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment 

Curtis Alexander - Rapid Refresh Forecast System Development for Version 2 

Terra Ladwig - Recent Collaborative Development of the Three Dimensional Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (3DRTMA) Using the Short-Range Weather Application

Aaron Johnson - Ensemble Correlations Between All-Sky ABI Water Vapor Channel Radiance and MPAS Ensemble State Variables: Flow dependence and implications for RRFS data assimilation 

Irena Ivanova - Towards Explicit Effects of Forest Canopy Shading and Turbulence on Boundary Layer Ozone in UFS SRW Air Quality Model 

James Beisman - Incorporation of RRFS-Smoke and Dust (SD) Capabilities into the UFS Short-Range Weather (SRW) Application 

UFS Application – Oceans and Ecology

The Oceans and Ecology session takes an Earth systems approach to understanding threats to lives and livelihoods; it will feature research that integrates physical, chemical, and biological sciences to model oceans and ecology.

Speakers |  

Le Zhang - Quantifying Carbon System Resilience of a River-Dominated Shelf to Hurricanes: A Case Study of Ida 

Yonggang Liu - Short-Term Forecast of Karenia Brevis Trajectory on the West Florida Shelf 

Fei Ye - Forecasting Coastal Flooding Including Inland Extremes and Heavy Precipitation With STOFS-3D 

Paola Dosal - Improving Spatial Resolution in NOAA’s Historical Flood Data With the Coastal Ocean Reanalysis

Maitane Olabarrieta - Forecasting Hurricane Impacts in the US East Coast and Gulf of Mexico 

Tim Osborn - Changing Coastal Model Conditions with Sea Level Rise Datum Updates and Coastal Elevation Depictions With Transition from NAVD88 

Kehui Xu - Coupled Ocean Modeling Testbed (COMT) Platform for Physics and Contaminant Exchange Through the River - Estuary - Ocean Continuum 

Dante M. L. Horemans - Optimizing the Forecasting Skill of Correlative Estuarine Species Distribution Models Using Mechanistic Model Output 

Jilian Xiong - Impact of Estuarine Exchange Flow on Mul6-tracer Budgets in the Salish Sea 

Aaron Bever - Coupled Hydrodynamic-Biogeochemical Forecasting Using the Chesapeake Bay Environmental Forecasting System 

Maitane Olabarrieta - Forecasting the Impacts of Lake Operations on the Estuarine Hydrodynamics and Pollutant Transport 

Jia Wang - Great Lakes Earth System Model Using FVCOM+CICE Models: Hindcast (1979-2021) and Future Climate Projections (1979-2100) 

Zhengchen (John) Zang - A Numerical Study of Eastern Oyster (Crassostrea Virginia) Larvae Growth and Dispersal in Barataria Bay, Louisiana 

Lu Wang - Simulating Ocean Acidification in the Northeast U.S. Region Using a Fully Coupled Three Dimensional Biogeochemistry and Ecosystem Model 

Ogooluwa Adeagbo - Detangling the Elevated Sea-Surface pCO2 in a River-Dominated Continental Shelf Using a High-Resolution Regional Ocean Model 

UFS Application - Land/Surface Models, Followed by Cross-Cutting – Data Assimilation

This session will highlight priorities for land model development in the UFS to improve operational forecasts. Presentations will include better representations of key processes for capturing land-atmosphere interactions, coupling infrastructure, land model components, land data assimilation, and verification & validation tools. The session will then transition to presentations on data assimilation (DA), DA applications, innovative observing techniques, and coupled DA processes. Challenges in DA may also be addressed.

Speakers |  Land/Surface Models

Michael Barlage - Facilitating Land Model and Data Assimilation Development With a Community Focus 

Andrew Newman - UFS Forecast Model Evaluation and Improvement for S2S Hydrometeorological Prediction in the Western United States 

Siwei He - Evaluating Snow and Soil Simulations in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) Short-Range Weather System

Cenlin He - Enhancing Snowpack Physics in the Noah-MP Land Surface Model 

Myung-Seo Koo - Current Status and Plan of KIM/Noah-MP Coupled Model 

Speakers |  Data Assimilation

Zhaoxia Pu - Coupled Land-Atmosphere Data Assimilation Within the Joint Effort for Data Assimilation  

Zhiquan (Jake) Liu - A Prototype of Convection-Permitting Data Assimilation System With Regional MPAS-JEDI: Hybrid-4DEnVar and Assimilation of Hourly ABI Radiances 

Cory Martin - JEDI-Based Atmospheric Composition Data Assimilation Progress at NWS 

Jeffrey Whitaker - Assimilating Real Observations With ML Model Emulators 

3:30 pm | BREAK

3:45 pm | Emerging Technologies: AI/ML

Description | Science community members will present on emerging technologies in artificial intelligence and machine learning.

Speakers |  

David Harrison - An Evaluation of AI-Generated Global NWP Emulators in the NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment 

Montgomery Flora - WoFS-Cast: A Machine Learning Model for High-Resolution Storm-Scale Weather Forecasting 

Jorge Guerra - Toward Basic Characterization of Machine Learning Methods Applied to Computational Geophysical Flows 

Sadegh Tabas - Training GraphCast with NOAA’s GDAS Reanalysis Data for Global Weather Forecasting 

4:45 pm | Research to Operations (R2O) and Operations to Research (O2R): How Innovations Move Through the Funnel

Description | This session will provide an overview of the process for transitioning research innovations into operations (R2O2R). Presentations will touch on the roles of NOAA’s Testbeds and Proving Grounds (TBPGs), providing specific examples from two testbeds, aspects of engagement from the broader research community, and how NOAA supports engagement of the broader community and TBPGs.

Speakers |  

Dr. Thomas Auligné - Director, JCSDA

Dr. Christiane Jablonowski - Professor, University of Michigan

Chandra Kondragunta - Program Manager, JTTI

Dr. Louisa Bogar Nance - Director, DTC

Dr. Andrea J. Ray - Physical Scientist, NOAA/OAR/PSL, Hydrometeorological Testbed, & TBPGCC Chair 

6:15 pm | Conclude and Look Ahead

July 26, 2024

9:00 am | Welcome and Kickoff

MC | Alison Gregory, Community Engagement Specialist, Unified Forecast System (UFS)

9:05 am | NOAA Data Assimilation Strategy

Description | This session will highlight NOAA's first Data Assimilation Strategy including its purpose, vision, and grand challenges.

Speaker | Daryl Kleist - Supervisory Physical Scientist, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

9:15 am | Updates and Challenges for Data Assimilation

Description | This session will spotlight developments related to data assimilation.

Speakers | 

Damian Wilson - Developing the Transatlantic Data Science Academy: The UK Experience 

Yannick Tremolet - The Joint Effort for Data assimilation Integration (JEDI): Status and Updates 

Xu Lu - Hurricane Inner-Core Data Assimilation Upgrades for HAFSv2 and 2024 Real-Time Parallel Experiments 

Ming Hu - Rapid Refresh Forecast System Data Assimilation System: Version 1 Overview and Version 2 Development Status 

Yongming Wang - Recent Development of JEDI-Based Data Assimilation for GFS and RRFS at OU MAP Lab

10:45 am | Continued Updates and Challenges for Data Assimilation

Description | This session will provide additional updates on data assimilation.

Speakers |  

Jonathan J. Guerrette - Impact Assessment of the Tomorrow.io Microwave Sounder (TMS) Constellation

Jonathan Poterjoy - Nonparametric Data Assimilation Directions for the UFS: From Thunderstorms to Ice 

10:45 am | Coffee Break / Land DA System Demo (Theatre Room)

Description | Participants can watch a demonstration of running the Land DA System.

Moderated by |  Gillian Petro - User Support Team Lead, EPIC/STC

11:15 am | Panel Discussion on Partnerships: How to Expand Our Community

Description | This panel will discuss strategies for creating and implementing partnerships that expand the community.

Moderated by |  Tamara Battle - Policy & Partnerships Lead, NOAA/OAR/WPO

Panelists | 

Dr. Neil Jacobs - Chief Science Advisor for the Unified Forecast System (UFS), UCAR

Dr. Jamese Sims, Chief Executive Officer of Thee Anomaly, LLC

Alycia Triplett - Ph.D. Student, Howard University, NCAS-M II

Dr. Hendrik Tolman - Senior Advisor for Advanced Modeling Systems, NOAA/NWS/OSTI

12:00 pm | Debrief: Findings, Recommendations & Closing Statements 

Description | For our final session, three panelists from EPIC, the UFS, and the UFS-R2O project will come together to reflect on our key findings and takeaways from the workshop.

12:30 pm | Adjourn

Training

Training 1 | SRW Application Training on AWS for New Users (Virtual Only)

Monday, July 22, 2024

8:00 am – 12:00 pm CDT

Join the EPIC Team for a virtual workshop focused on the Short-Range Weather (SRW) Application. This session is ideal for those looking to deepen their knowledge of the SRW Application through the use of a Mac or Linux-based operating systems (OS). Participants will learn step-by-step how to install and operate the SRW Application and how to leverage this powerful tool for their weather analysis and forecasting needs.

Objective | This workshop will help new users learn how to effectively install and use the Short-Range Weather (SRW) Application, on a Mac or Linux-based OS. Participants will receive practical guidance on setting up and navigating the application, allowing them to apply it confidently in their weather analysis and forecasting tasks.

Hosted via Google Meet for virtual attendees.

Training 2 | Graduate Student Training: Data and Visualization With Level 2 Git Instruction

Monday, July 22, 2024

8:00 am – 12:00 pm CDT

Join us to discover how to craft customized graphical products using UFS model outputs. You’ll also learn different ways to display geographical data overlaid with model fields. Data visualization tools will include wgrib2, pygrib, and Jupyter notebooks.

In the second part of our workshop, we dive into Level 2 Git training. This is perfect if you’re already comfortable with basic Git commands and using GitHub. We’ll focus on deepening your understanding of GitHub-based UFS repositories, managing your own remote and local repositories, and the ins and outs of contributing to the UFS repositories.

Objective | This training session is designed to equip users with the skills to explore various tools and start creating their own scripts for visualizing model fields. Participants will also deepen their understanding of local Git spaces, learn to edit code more effectively, and discover various ways to contribute to UFS repositories.

Limited to 60 in-person attendees. Hosted via Google Meet for hybrid and virtual attendees.

Training 3  | Weather Prediction with Google’s GraphCast AI Model 

Monday, July 22, 2024

8:00 am – 12:00 pm CDT 

Join us at UIFCW 2024 for a workshop featuring Google’s GraphCast, where we’ll dive into the role of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) in weather forecasting. This session will demonstrate how the latest AI techniques may improve the accuracy and efficiency of weather forecasts. You’ll get a close look at how these technologies are being used today to enhance forecasting methods and aid decision-making. Whether you’re interested in AI, technological innovations or environmental science, this workshop offers a fantastic chance to discover how methods in weather forecasting are evolving. Come learn with us!

Objective | Introduce participants to Google’s GraphCast, demonstrating its application in improving weather forecasting through AI and machine learning techniques. Attendees will learn how this technology improves weather forecasting, making it more accurate and efficient, and how it helps industries make better decisions.

Limited to 150 in-person attendees. Hosted via Google Meet for hybrid and virtual attendees.

Abstract Details

Abstract submissions due by Friday, May 31, 2024.

UFS Application – Short Range Weather (SRW) Application and Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS)

This session will highlight the scientific updates, achievements, and challenges of the UFS SRW Application, including research, development, testing, and evaluation of the 3D Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis System (3DRTMA) and Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS).

UFS Application – Medium Range Weather (MRW) and Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Applications

This session will feature cutting-edge research regarding scientific updates, development, testing, and evaluation of applications based on the global coupled UFS MRW and S2S Applications, including: 

  • The next-generation Global Forecast System (GFS) for medium-range weather out to 16 days
  • The Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) for subseasonal ensemble forecasts out to 45 days
  • The Seasonal Forecast System (SFS)
  • The UFS Atmospheric Rivers (AR) model

UFS Application – Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS)

This session will feature cutting-edge research towards scientific updates, development, testing, and evaluation of the next-generation Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS). 

UFS Application – Oceans and Ecology

In this session featuring cross-cutting components of the UFS, presentations will feature cutting-edge research on topics such as oceans and ecology, which impact multiple applications.

UFS Application - Land/Surface Models

This session will feature priorities for land model development in the UFS to improve operational forecasts including better representations of key processes for capturing land-atmosphere interactions, coupling infrastructure, land model components, land data assimilation, and verification & validation tools, including evaluations of model physics at the process level. These and other land-related topics are encouraged.

Cross-Cutting #1 – Physics, Verification & Validation

In this session featuring cross-cutting components of the UFS, presentations will feature cutting-edge research on topics such as scale-aware physics, land physics, verification, and validation, which impact multiple applications.

Cross-Cutting #2 – System Architecture

In this session featuring cross-cutting components of the UFS, presentations will feature cutting-edge research on system architecture-related topics that impact multiple applications.

Cross-Cutting #3 – Dynamics and Nesting

In this session featuring cross-cutting components of the UFS, presentations will feature cutting-edge research on topics such as dynamics and nesting, which impact multiple applications. 

Cross-Cutting #4 – Data Assimilation

Data Assimilation (DA) is a critical component of Earth System Prediction. In this session, presentations will feature cutting-edge research on DA, DA applications, innovative observing techniques and coupled DA processes. Challenges in data assimilation may also be addressed.

Advancing UFS Applications – Coastal, Marine, Space Weather, and Air Quality

With an eye towards the future, this session will feature presentations about cutting-edge research towards the development, testing, and evaluation of upcoming UFS applications, including but not limited to, coastal, marine, space weather, and air quality.

Emerging Technologies: AI / ML

This session will feature presentations from science community members on emerging technologies in artificial intelligence and machine learning.

Student Session

This session will feature presentations from students on community modeling. 

Poster Session

Share your research, use case, or innovation with other community members during our poster session and networking mixer! Abstract submissions to the poster session are required.

Student Poster Session

Share your research, goals, and plans to achieve them through community modeling. Student abstract submissions to the student poster session are required.

Important Dates for UIFCW 2024

March 2024

  • 1st: Registration Opens
  • Workshop Agenda Announced
  • Call for Abstracts and Abstract Submission Opens

May 2024

  • 31st: Abstract Submission Closes

June 2024

  • 22nd: Last Day to Book a Room via the Hilton Garden Inn Jackson/Downtown
  • 30th: Last Day to Register for In-person Attendance

July 2024

  • 22nd – 26th: UIFCW24

Stay Connected

For the latest updates on UIFCW24, including registration details, session schedules, and keynote speakers, please check back regularly. Join the conversation and become part of a growing community dedicated to advancing weather forecasting innovations.